They have made it to Villaines la Juhel and Mortagne-au-Perche. At this point there are just five of them: Robin, James, Greg, Bill and Bob. I’ve had a chance to do some detailed checking of the control times and stage speeds of the other five team mates and this is what seems to have happened. It will be interesting to compare notes with James when they have finished and see if these deductions tally with what actually happened on the road.
As well as Robin, James, Greg, Bill and Bob, there were also Alex, Ken, Ben and Jan.
It would appear that neither Alex nor Ken started with the team. Ken left with the 90h riders on Sunday 8/21 and abandoned the ride in Carhaix before reaching Brest. Alex left with the 80h riders but had a start time of 5:19am, whereas the rest of the team had a start time of 4:59am. Only 2 waves of 80h riders went out on Monday morning. The team seems to have been in the first wave and Alex in the second. The most recent control that he checked into was Ludeac on the return from Brest.
Ben rode with the team all the way to Villaines on the return from Brest, but dropped off the pace line en route to Mortagne. The team arrived in Mortagne at 6:23am French time/9:23pm Seattle time. Ben arrived in Mortagne 40mins after the team.
Jan looks to have started with the team. Her start time is the same as the team’s but her speed on the first stage to Villaines was slower. She arrived at the first control at 1:50pm, which was 1h 9mins after the teams arrival at 12:41pm. It is still unclear what is happening with Jan as her control chip has registered now for the the earlier controls between Fougeres and Carhaix and indicates she made it to Brest. Hopefully she is still on the road and able to finish. She will now have to finish within the 80h time limit.
So much unknown. So much to speculate about. So much to tease out and discuss with James eventually. This ride is fast, furious and fun to follow!
James is due into Dreux between 9:47am and 10:02am French time/12:47am and 1:02am Seattle time. I won’t be staying up for that check-in. Hopefully I will be sleeping and will set my alarm for 3:15am. And just to give you some sense of what they are aiming for timewise as they ride to Dreux and then onto the finish at Guyancourt I have made some rough-ish calculations (which now means I may not be able to sleep as my own adrenaline kicks in anticipating this down to the wire final 140k/87m):
They arrived in Mortagne at 6:23am French time.
It is 75k from Mortagne-au-Perche to Dreux and 65k from Dreux to the finish.
If they maintain a constant speed of 22k/h (13.67m/h), they should arrive in Dreux at about 10:04am. They need to leave Dreux at around 10am to get to the finish for 56h.
They can’t leave Dreux immediately, as they each have to get their control card stamped.
If they leave Dreux a minute or two before 10am and again maintain a constant speed of 22k/h (13.67m/h), they should arrive at the finish for the 56h end time.
So it all depends on how their pace line works heading into Dreux. Can they pick up the pace to get in, have their control cards stamped and be out again by 10am? The pace line went from 6 to 5 riders heading into Mortagne and they still maintained their pace. Now, with only 5 riders, can they pick up the pace a little to race into Guyancourt with a minute or two of wiggle room? Breathe with me everyone, breathe! What do you think the chances are of me falling to sleep now??? 🙂
James Ride Progress PBP2011
Control |
Arrival
|
Arrival Date & Time Seattle |
Pace |
Distance Completed |
Distance Remaining |
Time Completed |
Time
|
Time
|
Villaines la Juhel |
Mon 8/22 12:41pm |
Sun 8/21 7:59pm |
28.7km/h (17.8m/h) |
222km
|
1010km
|
07h41 |
48h19 |
72h19 |
Fougeres |
Mon 8/22 4:20pm |
Mon 8/22 7:20am |
27.3km/h (16.96m/h) |
311km
|
921km
|
11h20 |
44h40 |
68h40 |
Tinteniac |
Mon 8/22 6:47pm |
Mon 8/22 9:47am |
26.4km/h (16.40m/h) |
365km
|
867km
|
13h48 |
42h12 |
66h12 |
Loudeac |
Mon 8/22 10:39pm |
Mon 8/22 1:39pm |
25.4km/h (15.78m/h) |
450km
|
780km
|
17h39 |
38h21 |
62h21 |
Carhaix-Pouger |
Tues 8/23 2:58am |
Mon 8/22 5:58pm |
23.9km/h (14.85m/h) |
526km
|
704km
|
21h58 |
34h02 |
58h02 |
Brest |
Tues 8/23 7:44am |
Mon 8/23 10:44pm |
23.1km/h (14.35m/h) |
619km
|
611km
|
26h45 |
29h15 |
53h15 |
Carhaix-Plougeur |
Tues 8/23 11:38am |
Tues 8/23 2:38am |
22.9km/h (14.23m/h) |
704km
|
526km
|
30h39 |
25h21 |
49h21 |
Loudeac |
Tues 8/23 3:34pm |
Tues 8/23 6:34am |
22.6km/h (14.04m/h) |
783km
|
449km
|
34h34 |
21h26 |
45h26 |
Tinteniac |
Tues 8/23 7:35pm |
Tues 8/23 11:35am |
22.5km/h (13.98m/h) |
868km
|
364km
|
38h35 |
17h25 |
41h25 |
Fougeres |
Tues 8/23 10:08pm |
Tues 8/23 1:08pm |
22.4km/h (13.92m/h) |
922km
|
310km
|
41h08 |
14h52 |
38h52 |
Villaines la Juhel |
Wed 8/24 2:27am |
Tues 8/23 5:27pm |
22.2km/h (13.79m/h) |
1010km
|
222km
|
45h27 |
10h33 |
34h33 |
Mortagne-au-Perche |
Wed 8/24 6:23am |
Tues 8/23 9:23pm |
22.1km/h (13.73m/h) |
1092km
|
140km
|
49h23 |
6h37 |
30h37 |
Leave a comment